16:43 Roscommon — Garvey's Bar, Ballintubber Maiden Hurdle model predictions
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Garvey's Bar, Ballintubber Maiden Hurdle
Prediction Leader
God The Highness (IRE)
0%
Modest on the Flat; ordinary efforts both starts over hurdles; fifth at Limerick last time was a remote one; others preferred; declared to run on Flat at Navan 4.37 Sunday.
Rest of field
Neat As A Pin (IRE)
0%
Homebred Getaway filly; sister to point winner Sound As A Bell; dam point winner, closely related to high class jumpers Follow The Plan and Ballychorus; nicely bred and needs checking in the market on debut.
Betterluckthistime (IRE)
0%
100-1 and ran like it on debut in a Kilbeggan maiden hurdle in April; unlikely.
Jacks Bridge (IRE)
0%
66-1 and failed to beat a rival in Punchestown maiden hurdle last month; tongue-tie goes on; impossible to fancy.
Mike Des Mottes (FR)
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Promising fourth in Leopardstown bumper on debut in March (2m, sft-hvy); failed to back it up when tailed off at Kilbeggan (2m1f, gd-yld); half-brother to a hurdles winner and return to softer ground a likely plus.
Mytommy (FR)
0%
Castle Du Berlais gelding; half-brother to winners Enrichissant (2m4f hurdle/chase), Bambouzle (1m4f-1m7f AQPS Flat) and Don't Hesitate (12.5f/1m5f AQPS Flat and 2m hurdle); dam placed 1m4f-1m7f AQPS Flat; worth a market check on debut.
Take The Free (IRE)
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Sent off at big prices both starts; well beaten on debut at Cork (16.5f, yielding) but much better when a 7l sixth of 14 in another maiden hurdle (17.5f, good) back there on latest; place claims if backing that up but softer ground a query (dam won on soft-heavy).
Teffian Warrior
0%
Modest Flat maiden rated 64; not an obvious candidate for hurdling on breeding; tongue-tie added to cheekpieces; likely best watched.
Tribal
0%
Unlikely winner based on heavy maiden hurdle defeats at Killarney and Ballinrobe.
Who's Da Goose (GB)
0%
100-1 and weakened into a 37l seventh of 14 on debut at Killarney (2m1f gd-yld); seems safe to rule out after that.
Cinating (IRE)
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Decent level of form in bumpers (including on testing ground); in the process of running a big race on hurdles debut at Ballinrobe when falling two out; should go well here if that hasn't dented her confidence; hood goes on.
Dont Break My Word (IRE)
0%
Well held in maiden hurdles at Sligo and Ballinrobe; fourth last time but 25l behind the winner; will probably be seen to better effect when handicapping.
Ritz Plan (IRE)
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Promise in all three starts in academy hurdles on testing ground for Joesph O'Brien; off since 2.25l second at Naas in December (2m1f, sft-hvy); could go well on first run for new yard.
Tex Amare (GER)
0%
Showed ability on sole start on the Flat in Germany at Munich (1m2f, soft) last October; that form isn't easy to assess and she is hooded for her hurdling debut; worth a market check.