17:48 Roscommon — Dermot Hughes Car Sales Handicap Hurdle model predictions

Stede Bonnet (IRE)

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Dual-bumper winner is 2-6 over hurdles; won a Tramore maiden hurdle on New Year's Day (2m1f, soft) and Ayr novice (2m, soft) the following month; failed to fire upped to 20.5f (soft) in the Martin Pipe at Cheltenham; off since and capable of better; not discounted.

Billy Lee Swagger (IRE)

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Gained third win over timber when bolting up in 22.5f handicap at Ballinrobe (good) two weeks ago; rider's claim negates most of 9lb rise for that 8l win; ground versatile and should go well again.

Lisnagar Fortune (IRE)

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Punchestown bumper and maiden hurdle winner for Willie Mullins; 150-1 and tailed off on debut for this stable in Grade 3 Red Mills Hurdle at Gowran in February; off since and hard to know what to expect after that; watch.

Sir Allen (GB)

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2-13 over timber; returned from mammoth layoff with decisive Flat win at Navan in March (1m6f, heavy); given time to get over those exertions and returns to hurdling off what may be a workable mark; could go well.

Avalo (IRE)

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Gained second win over hurdles on return from a 168-day break in gutsy fashion at the Punchestown festival (2m, yielding) off 7lb lower; won his maiden over 2m4f so this longer trip fine but the forecast rain is a big concern (flopped both previous starts on soft).

Sequoiaspirit (IRE)

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Five-time Flat winner (including here) is 1-28 over hurdles; last two runs in this sphere poor but shaped well on the level at Killarney four weeks ago; just 1lb above sole hurdles win so place chance but hard to fancy for win purposes given his modest strike-rate.

Rakki (GB)

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Won his maiden hurdle here in September (15.5f, gd-yld); creditable run when second in a handicap hurdle at Punchestown in November; disappointed both starts since, including when beaten 30l at Punchestown on return from break in April; sharper for that and tongue-tie goes on now.

Ollie La Ba Ba (IRE)

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Won second race over hurdles when landing a handicap at Listowel (2m2f, gd-yld) in September; below best twice since, in a handicap chase at Clonmel and a handicap hurdle on heavy at Limerick in December; off since and record fresh suggests he might need this run.

Eye Of A Tiger (IRE)

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Has lost her way since winning a Kilbeggan maiden hurdle last August; beaten 24l in mares' handicap hurdle at Ballinrobe latest (2m, good); others arrive in better form.

Simple Things (IRE)

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4yo filly is 0-6 over hurdles but has races in her; runner up in mares' handicaps at Bellewstown (2m1f, yielding) and Wexford (2m4f, gd-yld) the last twice; nudged up another 3lb and not sure she wants testing ground; chance if the forecast rain misses.