18:42 Carlisle — Watch Racing TV Live EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) model predictions

Excessive (IRE)

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May foal; 15,000euros foal; eighth foal; Cotai Glory gelded half-brother to winners Dorian Gray (1m2f-1m4f AW; RPR 65) and Flosrose (Italian 1m 2yo); dam 6f AW 2yo winner (97); a late foal who may need more time; yard also runs Kaiulani Spirit.

Kaiulani Spirit (GB)

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March foal; £16,000 yearling; ninth foal; gelded son of Caturra out of mare who won on debut for another yard (5f; RPR 94) and produced winners including Flyin Hawaiian (10.6f AW; RPR 82) and Oahu (6f AW 2yo; 77); market can guide regarding this one and stablemate Excessive.

Mangham (GB)

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March foal; by Harry Angel; tenth foal; half-brother to winners Akeed Dubawi (1m AW; RPR 80), Tarnhelm (6f-1m; 72) and Billy McGarry (7f-8.6f, mostly AW; 66); dam 5f 2yo winner (90); has been gelded; jumps trainer combination's first 2yo runner; likely other days.

Rock Steady Beat (IRE)

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110,000gns yearling; dam's winning offspring include Happy Romance, a Group 3 winner as 2yo and 3yo; 6-1 for York debut (6f, good) and he showed up well for a long way in a stronger race than this; can improve; good claims dropped to 5f.

Yorkshire Dream (IRE)

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38,000gns breeze-up 2yo; 9-1 for recent 5f debut at Redcar where he was never involved after starting slowly but hinted at some ability despite running green; should improve, perhaps when handicapping.

Eevee Star (GB)

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Dam excelled on very soft ground when winning a French Listed race (5f) as 2yo; 15-2 for Ripon debut (6f, good) when soon well adrift but she did some good late work into third of eight; ought to progress and the drop in trip on today's stiff track shouldn't hold her back too much.

Sydney Grace (IRE)

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Never near the leaders on Yarmouth debut (5f, good; 16-1) but signs of ability even so, albeit she swished her tail when asked to improve; may well do better for yard that's 1-5 with 2yos here.