19:12 Carlisle — Follow Racing TV On X Novice Stakes (GBB Race) model predictions

Sodeto (GB)

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4yo who was tailed off at 40-1 in a bumper at Haydock (1m7f, good) on last month's debut; a tongue-tie replaces a hood; probably best watched.

Thistle Nil (IRE)

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4yo who was 66-1 when always behind and well beaten on last month's debut at Ayr (6f, good to firm); likely he's one for further down the line.

Vintage Marsala (GB)

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4yo who has some potential in his pedigree but he was always in last place when 12-1 for his debut at Redcar (1m, good to firm) last August; needs to be an entirely different proposition on his reappearance.

Affettuoso (GB)

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Improved from his debut run at Doncaster (1m, soft) when runner-up at Wolverhampton (9.4f, AW) last December at 5-6; that latest form reads well and there can be optimism that this well-bred 3yo can continue to progress for his respected Newmarket trainer; key player.

Glory Road (GER)

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Runner-up at Nottingham (8.3f, good to soft) last October on sole 2yo start and again showed considerable promise when third at Newbury (1m2f, good) last month; he's the one to beat on form.

Lorton Valley (GB)

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Soundly beaten in fifth earlier this year on his first two starts (1m, AW) and he has plenty to find if he's to be competitive today.

Pepsea (IRE)

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Promising second when 16-1 on debut at Thirsk (1m, good) in April; perhaps unsuited by the fast ground (hung right) when 8l fourth of seven at Hamilton (1m1f, good to firm) a fortnight ago; holds each-way claims.

Sanny Doo (GB)

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He's achieved very little across his three starts (6f/5f).

Snake Hips (GB)

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25,000gns foal; twelfth foal; half-brother to five winners including Staxton (6f; RPR 106; for this yard), Lazarus Bell (7f 2yo; 89), Classic Pursuit (prolific 5f/6f; 89) and Satin Snake (7f AW; 81); dam 1m4f winner (80); likely to improve for this debut run but could give a good account.

Steel Raven (IRE)

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£52,000 yearling, 87,000euros 2yo breeze-ups; second foal; half-brother to 7f winner We've Got This (RPR 69); unraced dam from useful family; the betting could be informative on debut.

Sun Lord (FR)

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Has shown ability on both starts (1m3f/1m2f, good to soft/good to firm) and he could have more to offer, but a sizeable step forward is needed.

Turret (IRE)

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17-2, ran green when beaten a long way on last month's debut at Lingfield (1m, AW); a dramatic transformation is needed but he cost 580,000euros in 2024 and his dam is from an excellent family; should be capable of considerably better at some point.