19:42 Carlisle — racingtv.com Handicap model predictions

Station X (GB)

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All his wins have been at 6f, the latest at Southwell in April, but effective at 5f; goes particularly well on soft/heavy ground so today's conditions should be ideal; fair run last time at Hamilton (1.25l sixth of 13); could go well from his high draw.

Francisco's Piece (GB)

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Two wins over 5f on soft/heavy as a juvenile, the second a Listed event at Chantilly; hasn't won since and only seventh of nine on reappearance, but on a fair mark; could go well though stall 1 a slight negative.

Trilby (GB)

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Had his ideal conditions when gaining his fourth win at Haydock last month (5f, soft) when wearing cheekpieces for the first time; solid third of 20 off this 5lb higher mark at York last time (5f, good; fifth has won since); stall 2 perhaps not ideal but one with a chance.

The Bell Conductor (IRE)

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Veteran; goes well on soft ground and ran a fine race when second to Trilby (2lb worse off for 0.5l) at Haydock last time (5f, soft; tongue-tie tried); tongue-tie retained and sound each-way chance.

Hundred Caps (GB)

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Suited by 5f on a stiff track (two of his three wins have been at Beverley); fair fifth at Beverley with a visor tried last time (5f, good; pulled hard); regular cheekpieces back on here but soft ground a negative.

Vince L'Amour (IRE)

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Hasn't been at his best since winning at Ripon early last month (5f, good); today's conditions ideal and could bounce back from good draw.

Parisiac (IRE)

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Has won ten of his 50 races on the Flat, all over 5f, the latest on his reappearance at Hamilton (good) last week; goes well on soft/heavy ground; another good run on the cards.

Spoof (GB)

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Veteran; all 12 wins have been over 5f and is ideally suited by plenty of give in the ground; hasn't been out since Doncaster win in March (5f, good to soft); has plenty in his favour and should go well again.

Peter The Wolf (GB)

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Only win was a 6f Chepstow maiden last September (6f, soft; 8-15 favourite); well beaten both starts since; bit to prove.

Arctic Summer (GB)

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Ex-French; only win was over 6f at Chantilly as a juvenile (very soft); not been in top form this season and needs cheekpieces to have a positive effect.

Qila (GB)

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Unexposed handicap debutant; best run when second in a 5f Newcastle novice last time; could go well but unproven on soft ground and this looks competitive.