16:18 Salisbury — Kingsclere Racing Club Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) model predictions
Back to Summary16:18 Salisbury
Kingsclere Racing Club Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)
Prediction Leader
Herstmonceux (GB)
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Gelding by Ulysses; tenth foal; half-brother to winners Timothy T (7.6f 2yo; RPR 92), Poetic Light (7.7f 2yo; 83), Suitsus (6f AW/1m turf; 74) and Equal Point (6f AW; 66); dam unplaced 6.5f/7f 2yo (35), out of sister to 1m2f/2m Listed winner Upper Strata; wears blinkers for his debut.
Rest of field
Besieged (GB)
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Showed plenty when a 1l second at Kempton (1m, AW) on his debut in April and built on that when second of 11 at Newbury (1m2f, good) 25 days ago; dam finished runner-up in a Group 1 on testing ground; sets the standard.
Cartrefle (GB)
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Tailed off when last of seven on his debut at Redcar (1m1f, good to soft) in October and he again failed to beat a rival home at Southwell (1m, AW) next time; others are preferred.
Centrum (GB)
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Colt by Dubawi; thirteenth foal; half-brother to eight winners including Enable (1m-1m4f including 2yo/AW/Oaks/dual Arc; RPR 129), Derab (Listed-placed 1m; 115) and Contribution (1m4f/1m7f; 106); dam 1m2f winner (including Listed; 102), sister to 12.5f Group 2 winner Dance Routine; bred to be smart and he's of interest on debut.
Easwrith Destiny (GB)
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200-1 when beaten 22l on his debut at Newbury (1m2f, good) in April and again finished well beaten after racing freely at Chepstow (1m2f, good to soft) 19 days ago; probably one for handicaps later on.
Last Trump
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Shaped with promise at Newbury (1m3f, good) in April but wasn't able to build on that when fourth of eight here over 1m4f (good to firm) 37 days ago; drops to 1m2f and looks the type to do better when handicapping.
Long Reign (GB)
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Showed little on his debut at Newbury (1m, good; 125-1; subsequently gelded) and again finished well beaten at Windsor (1m2f, good to firm) 29 days ago; not easy to recommend.
Much (GB)
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Well held in eighth in a race won by Derby runner-up Maltese Cross at Newbury (1m2f, good) on his debut and never featured over that same C&D 25 days ago; pedigree suggests slightly further may suit, and handicaps may be more his thing.
Notable Charm (GB)
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Struggled on his debut at Newbury (1m, good; 150-1) in April and it was the same story at Lingfield (1m, AW) 28 days ago; pedigree suggests this step up in trip will suit but handicaps may be more suitable.
Traveling Man (GB)
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Gelding by Too Darn Hot; 360,000gns yearling; third foal; closely related to winners Al Musmak (7f-1m1f including 2yo/dirt/Listed; RPR 113) and Mahshoom (KSA 1m1f); dam unraced half-sister to useful 1m1f-1m4f winner Boltaway, out of quadruple US 1m/1m1f Grade 1 winner; nice pedigree and the market should be informative on his debut.
Poor Relation (FR)
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Caught the eye when fifth of 11 on her debut at Lingfield (1m, AW) in December and built on that when runner-up at Southwell (1m, AW) 140 days ago, despite hanging left; steps up in trip on her first start since and she's open to further progress.