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21:00 HamiltonHampton By Hilton Hamilton Park Handicap model predictions

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21:00 Hamilton

Hampton By Hilton Hamilton Park Handicap

Good To Soft11 runners1m68yClass 6Flat

Prediction Leader

Motawaared (GB)

Motawaared (GB)

0%

Placed in a novice and a maiden (both 1m) for George Boughey; low key (0-4, often slowly away) since joining Jim Goldie for 12,000gns; drops into a Class 6 for the first time, though, with cheekpieces added; no forlorn hope.

Rest of field

Spirit Catcher (IRE)

Spirit Catcher (IRE)

0%

Returned to winning ways at Musselburgh (1m1f, good; from 4lb lower) in April and runner-up twice since, stamina seemingly overstretched behind the thriving Alpine Sierra at Musselburgh (12.5f) latest; enters calculations back over a more suitable 8.5f.

Mwafaq (IRE)

Mwafaq (IRE)

0%

Won reappearance, completing the hat-trick, at Thirsk (7f, good; from 4lb lower) in April; pressed the winner hard at Ayr (1m, good to firm) three weeks ago; this is a slightly longer trip; useful claimer in the saddle.

Tees George (GB)

Tees George (GB)

0%

Fourth of 22 at Doncaster (1m, good to soft) in March and built on that when winning at Beverley (8.5f) the following month; latest Beverley effort was not so good and he has fared no better than sixth in six races from a mark of 61 and higher.

The Sweet Escape (GB)

The Sweet Escape (GB)

0%

Took advantage of a drop back in trip and ease in grade (into a Class 6) when scrambling home at Nottingham (8.5f, good; from 3lb lower) in April; beaten by a nose off this mark at Leicester (1m) in May and consistent since; possible.

Condotti (IRE)

Condotti (IRE)

0%

Still seeking first win (0-11) and now 10lb lower than when runner-up at Ffos Las (1m, good; 2-1 favourite) last August; weakened quickly when last of nine on reappearance at Carlisle (1m1f, good) 12 days ago.

Perfidia (IRE)

Perfidia (IRE)

0%

Did enough to justify favouritism over C&D (good; from 2lb lower; Pisanello fourth) three back; held form reasonably well since, failing to get the breaks at Ripon (1m, good; fifth) last week; Jake Dickson's 7lb claim continues to be handy.

Pisanello (IRE)

Pisanello (IRE)

0%

Dual C&D winner; failed to score since York (1m1f, Class 4) two years ago; way down the weights now and 4l fourth to Perfidia over C&D (now 4lb lower and claimer ridden) on penultimate start, but usual tale of modest late headway continued at Carlisle last time; patience with him is wearing thin.

South Road (IRE)

South Road (IRE)

0%

Shock 6f winner at Ayr (good to soft; 40-1, from 5lb higher) last July; not much to enthuse about since (0-5) but she was returning from a two-month break when fifth at Ayr (1m, good to firm; Mwafaq runner-up) latest; stamina is a major risk over 8.5f.

Hunterian (IRE)

Hunterian (IRE)

0%

Well beaten in four AW starts (at around a mile); took a slight step forward, showing speed, when third on turf debut at Redcar (7f, good to firm; 12-1) a fortnight ago; opposition suitable, but this return to 8.5f may not help; low mileage.

Millbuie (GB)

Millbuie (GB)

0%

25-race maiden; had run of the race at Newcastle (1m2f; third, 16-1) last week but was unable to make it count; no reason to think that this return to turf can unlock the door; others are more convincing.