16:50 Yarmouth — Royal Ascot On Sky Sports Racing Handicap model predictions

Bella Perla (IRE)

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Won a maiden at Southwell (7f, AW) and two 1m handicaps at Lingfield (AW) last year when trained by the Crisfords; drops in grade having failed to beat a rival home on her stable debut at Ascot (1m, good) 32 days ago and has a bit to prove on turf.

Cavolo Nero (GB)

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Won twice as a 3yo, including a handicap at Goodwood (1m, good) last May; placed on his first two starts this year (1m/1m2f) but below his best when held in fourth at Haydock (1m2f, good to firm) 46 days ago; drops back in trip with blinkers now tried.

Sprightly Dance (IRE)

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Made a promising debut here on good ground in October and built on that when winning comfortably at Wolverhampton (9.5f, AW) next time; disappointing at Chelmsford (1m2f, AW) 196 days ago, weakening late after racing freely, but she may settle better over this shorter trip; interesting on her handicap debut.

Carron (IRE)

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Made it 3-4 on the AW when winning at Newcastle (1m, AW) in March but below that level in two starts on turf since, including when last of his group of five at Newmarket (1m; first-time cheekpieces) 39 days ago; cheekpieces discarded.

Mythical Guest (IRE)

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Disappointing on reappearance at Newmarket (1m, good; reported to have stopped quickly) 57 days ago and both wins came over 1m2f on good to firm in 2024 (one here); however, he did post some good efforts last season (including on soft) and may be able to put his comeback run well behind him.

Percival (FR)

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Heavy-ground winner over 1m2f at Saint-Cloud in November 2024 but tailed off in a 1m4f handicap there on his final start for Andre Fabre 87 days ago; has since been purchased for 12,000gns and drops to 1m with a hood applied on his stable debut; watch the market.

Padua (IRE)

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Can race freely, just as he did when making all at Haydock (7f, good) last summer; didn't get away with it at Sandown (7f, good) 307 days ago and he's since been gelded; tongue-tie is removed and he needs to settling better now stepping back up in trip on his reappearance.

Renewal (GB)

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Record of 4232 in novice/maiden events and ran well when second of 12 on her handicap debut at Newcastle (1m2f, AW) in October; however, she failed to beat a rival home at Thirsk (1m) on her reappearance and needs to take a big step forward from that effort.

Where's Freddy (IRE)

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All three wins on turf have been on the Newmarket July course (7f/1m) but he has been placed in two of his three starts over this C&D, including on soft; never featured on his reappearance 25 days ago and needs to build on that.

Gorgeous Mr George (IRE)

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Won three times here last year (good to soft/good to firm), the most recent coming over C&D off a 10lb lower mark than today's; eighth in both starts since returning from a 182-day break and better is needed.