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16:43 LimerickLimerick Optional Claiming Race model predictions

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16:43 Limerick

Limerick Optional Claiming Race

Good To Yielding12 runners1m3f210yFlat

Prediction Leader

Blackjack Hills (IRE)

Blackjack Hills (IRE)

0%

Showed significant improvement in first-time blinkers to win a handicap over an extended 1m at Gowran last October; proved he could handle a sound surface with a follow-up success at Dundalk in November; went up a stone in total but will need further progress to cope with several higher-rated rivals here.

Rest of field

Glendower (GB)

Glendower (GB)

0%

Placed four times in Britain in 2024, showing a liking for quick ground; modest form over hurdles for this stable last year; after almost 12 months off, produced a much livelier display when third in a Flat maiden at Ballinrobe last month.

Kakori (IRE)

Kakori (IRE)

0%

Filly with a good German pedigree; ran her best race so far when sixth in a 20-runner handicap over 1m5f at Navan in April, beaten only 3l and would have been closer with a clear run; several others have a stronger chance in theory, but perhaps unwise to rule out.

Metamorphic (GB)

Metamorphic (GB)

0%

Frankel filly put in her best effort when third in a heavy ground Gowran fillies' maiden last October over an extended 1m1f; reportedly got upset in the stalls on both handicap starts at Dundalk later in the year; risky in the circumstances.

Taj Crown (IRE)

Taj Crown (IRE)

0%

Slowly away and ran green at Dundalk on her only start at three; made late progress in a 1m maiden at Killarney last month; unexposed filly, open to improvement but others have stronger credentials.

Merlin The Wizard (GB)

Merlin The Wizard (GB)

0%

Three wins in Britain in 2023 at up to 1m; regressive in the last two seasons; produced best run for some time at Dundalk in March when good second over 1m; more recent turf form just about good enough to suggest he can make his presence felt in this grade.

Peace Walk (GB)

Peace Walk (GB)

0%

Failed to prosper in handicaps after showing decent form at two; had dropped from an initial rating of 85 to 70 by the time of his final start for Charlie Johnston in 2024; gelded now; likely to need after a long absence.

Tyson Fury (GB)

Tyson Fury (GB)

0%

Takes a sharp drop in class having contested a strong 1m6f handicap at the Curragh last week; had previously shown decent form in finishing second in maiden hurdles at Tramore and Killarney; suited by the race conditions, as he was when readily landing a race of this type at Dundalk in March.

Timandi (IRE)

Timandi (IRE)

0%

13-race maiden; never in the first three; unlikely to improve her profile here.

Zammawar (IRE)

Zammawar (IRE)

0%

Has struggled in maidens, including a Ballinrobe event in which Glendower finished third.

Dreamed To Dream (FR)

Dreamed To Dream (FR)

0%

Rating of 64 flatters him on what he has shown in five Flat starts; tailed off at Cork on latest on his first start for a fourth different trainer.

Wolfpack (GB)

Wolfpack (GB)

0%

Won over 1m on good ground at Thirsk last summer for James Ferguson; poor form in juvenile hurdles; a race of this type represents his best chance of adding to his tally, judged on his recent Dundalk fourth behind a stablemate of Tyson Fury.