19:20 Limerick — Cosgrave Transport Handicap (Div I) model predictions

Racing Royalty (GB)

0%

Both wins came in the autumn of 2023; best 2024 form was also late in the campaign, and his only placing last season was obtained at Galway in September; hard to make a case for him on seasonal debut.

Verhoyen

0%

Eight-time winner (placed 20 times) who marked his 100th appearance with a fair sixth of 18 at Fairyhouse recently, one place in front of today's rival Jazzy Dancer; almost two years since his last win; might struggle to record another success in the closing stages of his career.

Shelbourne Flyer (IRE)

0%

Maiden after 13 starts; a few good 7f turf runs last summer, notably when second over this trip at Leopardstown; first run for Noel Meade now.

Linger For Longer (IRE)

0%

Three-time winner; below par last year; faded in a 1m contest at this event on her first run of the season; more like it when fourth at Listowel ten days ago; now reunited with the champion jockey who won twice on her in 2024; worth considering.

Jazzy Dancer (IRE)

0%

No win on turf since 2022 but scored at Dundalk (7f) for the third time in February; not at his best at the same venue the following month; better when seventh of 18 at Fairyhouse recently, closely matched with Verhoyen on that running

Carvalhal (IRE)

0%

Winner over 1m1f on quick ground in Britain; placed three times in a row last June when headgear went on; form tailed off in the autumn; will need more racing to get back to top form on the evidence of last month's reappearance at Gowran.

Oxford Circus (IRE)

0%

Good effort when third in a 6f maiden on debut at Dundalk in February; has failed to build on that; soundly beaten in four turf handicap stars at four different trips from 5f to 1m.

Imnotleavinyou (IRE)

0%

Placed in a Naas nursery last term and runner-up in her first three outings this season at 6f/7f/1m, each time staying on late; ground may have been too quick for her when she failed to reproduce her best form at Down Royal 12 days ago; on balance, appeals more than Beau Army, fourth in that event.

Lorr's Girl (IRE)

0%

Best form at Cork, the scene of her only win (over 7f in September 2024) and last season's best effort, in a 6f contest; failed to make much impact on seasonal debut at Killarney.

Bright Image (IRE)

0%

Produced a fine effort when fifth of 20 over 6f at the Curragh at the beginning of the 2024 season; absent until returning at Gowran three weeks ago; posed no threat, not helped by a slip early in the races; best watched.

Half Nutz (IRE)

0%

Six wins to his name but on a losing run that stretches back to September 2022; not beaten far in two of her last four races (all at Gowran) but clearly needs to find extra; official rating has slumped from a peak of 85 to a lowly 38.

Beau Army (IRE)

0%

Has won over 6f/7f at Dundalk and runner-up over 1m at the AW venue in April; ran his best race on turf so far when keeping on for fourth behind Meridien (a winner again since) over 7f at Down Royal 12 days ago; among those behind then was Imnotleavinyou whose previous form gives her a leading chance here.

She's On The Ball (IRE)

0%

Weak form in maidens; towards the rear at Cork on handicap debut; 3lb out of the handicap; no positives apart from the booking of Wayne Lordan.